Julian's Jabberings

Books reviews, current events, and other musings

Friday, December 24, 2004

Killer asteroid

As if we didn't have enough to worry about (from Slashdot).

A recently rediscovered 400-meter Near-Earth Asteroid (NEA) is predicted to pass near the Earth on 13 April 2029. The flyby distance is uncertain and an Earth impact cannot yet be ruled out.
...
Today's impact monitoring results indicate that the impact probability for April 13, 2029 has risen to about 1.6%, which for an object of this size corresponds to a rating of 4 on the ten-point Torino Scale. Nevertheless, the odds against impact are still high, about 60 to 1,...

The impact energy would be 2000 megatons, 40 times larger than the most powerful nuclear weapon ever tested.

A 1% chance of a disaster of that magnitude is a major concern. Hopefully, subsequent measurements will rule out a collision.

1 Comments:

Blogger Julian said...

The Hiroshima bomb was 12-25 kilotons, but the Soviet Tsar Bomba device was 50 megatons. The asteroid impact was estimated to be 40 times the latter value.

January 31, 2005 at 7:56 AM  

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